Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.2%
Previsori
50
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto4 set 25, 22:01 UTC4 gen 29, 22:53 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump ban gun sales to transgender people?
Manifold MarketsWill transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump ban or significantly limit Prozac?
Manifold MarketsWill it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if the Trump or Vance bans transgender people from buying guns before 2029.
- This could happen by signing a bill, or an ATF directive.
- Ban must target trans or lgbt people.
- A ban on everyone purchasing guns would not qualify.
- A ban that is preemptively struck down by the courts would still resolve YES.
