Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
US PoliticsOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84.4%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto16 feb 25, 17:10 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.
- The State Department has said they will « only issue passports with an M or F sex marker that match the customer's biological sex at birth. » Some trans people report delays of less than a month in passport processing.
- This question will resolve YES if credible reports emerge of at least 5 people being denied US passports because they are trans.
- The question will NOT resolve yes if:
- 1) Trans people are denied passports for reasons unrelated to being trans
- 2) Delays in passport processing occur
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 84% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Background: some people have claimed that the Trump administration plans to refuse passports to trans people.