Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.7%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 25, 17:17 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the worldwide Google Trends metric for the term "Arafel" reaches a higher level than its previous maximum (the spike circa Mar 2011) before January 1st 2035.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 944,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 721,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
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- 620K €
- Volume 24h
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- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Volume totale
- 514,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 496,9K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 428,7K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 altri esiti
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- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a trend spike for the term "Arafel" before 2035??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a trend spike for the term "Arafel" before 2035??
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Arafel" before 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2034.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a trend spike for the term "Arafel" before 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the worldwide Google Trends metric for the term "Arafel" reaches a higher level than its previous maximum (the spike circa Mar 2011) before January 1st 2035.