Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81%
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto7 feb 25, 23:43 UTC2 gen 28, 02:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
Manifold MarketsWill there be any public agreement on frontier AI between China and the US or American AI companies before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.
- As CEO of multiple high-profile companies (Tesla, SpaceX, X) and one of the world's wealthiest individuals, Musk maintains a controversial public presence and has been involved in various political discussions.
- He has previously acknowledged increasing his security measures in response to threats.
- Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- A credible attempt must meet at least one of the following criteria:
- Law enforcement confirms an assassination attempt
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $78,000 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
- $78,500 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 864,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 863,2K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
- $65,500 or above98%
- $73,500 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 442,7K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- 200-219+9.0pt35.9%
- 180-199+0.5pt35%
- 220-239+4.0pt15.5%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 19 - September 21, 2026?
- 40-64+12.5pt67.3%
- <40-8.0pt16.8%
- 65-89-4.0pt13.9%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,480 or above98%
- $2,440 or above98%
- $2,400 or above97%
+37 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 145,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 145,3K €
LIMITLESSAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Daily
- No73.7%
- Yes26.3%
- Volume totale
- 133,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 133,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027?
- Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Background Elon Musk has reported facing multiple assassination attempts, including two near Tesla's Gigafactory in Austin, Texas in recent months.