Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAMedio OrienteGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.7%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto13 mar 26, 23:09 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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- Resolution Criteria
- For a draft to return, Congress would need to pass new legislation to amend the Military Selective Service Act.
- This market resolves YES if legislation authorizing a military draft is signed into law during Trump's second term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
- Resolution will be determined by checking the status of draft authorization legislation on official government sources including Congress.gov and the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without such legislation being enacted.