Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle EastGeopolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93.7%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto13 mar 26, 23:09 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Kim Jong Un visit the United States during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be illegal in the United States during Trump's presidency.
Manifold MarketsUS military draft authorized in 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiRegole
I hate that I'm even making this market
- Resolution Criteria
- For a draft to return, Congress would need to pass new legislation to amend the Military Selective Service Act.
- This market resolves YES if legislation authorizing a military draft is signed into law during Trump's second term (January 20, 2025 – January 20, 2029).
- Resolution will be determined by checking the status of draft authorization legislation on official government sources including Congress.gov and the Federal Register.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's term ends without such legislation being enacted.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 94% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress??
- Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a military draft in the United States during Trump's second term, authorized by Congress??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I hate that I'm even making this market