Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 65.4%
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10
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto18 lug 26, 10:36 UTC31 dic 76, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a data center on the planet Venus by 2127?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will there be an exabyte or more data stored on the planet Mars?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.
- Tasks could be local, such as orchestrating many remote robots across the planet.
- Designs limited to only some kinds of tasks, hindering flexible usage as expected on Earth, would strain the definition.
- Update 2026-07-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The data center does not need to meet a minimum size or power threshold.
- Quality of capability matters, not quantity.
- The Martian data center should be able to perform the same kinds of tasks as terrestrial data centers, though potentially more slowly.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 89,7K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volume totale
- 101,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,5K €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2076.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be a data center on the planet Mars by EOY 2076??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.