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Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?

One-OffSociety & Culture6a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 93.1%

Previsori

25

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 ore fa

Obsoleto

29 dic 22, 03:36 UTC31 dic 32, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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Regole

Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation in 2022-Dec:

"Starting some time next year, we are going to have food shortages that are multi-continential.
And they are probably going to expand to the point that we are going to lose a billion people over the next decade.
The supply chain system just takes too long to adapt."
Will we see this?
Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 1 billion people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.

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Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032??: Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032??: Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2032.
Come viene liquidato Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation in 2022-Dec:

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