Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026? [resolves to 2027 poll]
One-OffSocietà e cultura3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.2%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto11 gen 26, 19:51 UTC2 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Shortly after market close, I will create a Manifold poll, open for a week, on the question "Were there less than 7 billion people in the world on January 11, 2026?" with the answers "Yes", "No", and "Not sure/see results".
- If there are more Yes answers than No answers, this market resolves YES.
- If there are more No answers than Yes answers, this market resolves NO.
- A tie resolves 50/50.
