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Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027

PoliticaOne-OffUS Politics Regolamentazione1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 67.2%

Previsori

12

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 13 ore fa

Obsoleto

9 feb 26, 22:48 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Resolution Criteria

This market resolves YES if the White House makes an official public announcement stating that ICE deportations have exceeded 1 million by December 31, 2027.
The announcement must come from official White House communications (press releases, statements from the President, DHS Secretary, or other authorized administration officials) and be verifiable through official government sources such as whitehouse.gov or dhs.gov.
For resolution purposes, "deportations" refers to formal removals as reported by the Department of Homeland Security's Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), consistent with how the administration has publicly reported these figures.
The market resolves NO if no such announcement is made by EOY 2027, or if official figures show cumulative deportations remain at or below 1 million.
The Department of Homeland Security's FY 2026 budget justification requests funding increases "to support the Administration's strategy of 1,000,000 removals per year." As of January 2026, the Trump administration reported nearly 3 million illegal aliens have left the U.S., including an estimated 2.2 million self-deportations and more than 675,000 deportations.

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Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Manifold Markets quota No al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
Come viene liquidato Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027?: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria

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