Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & Justice3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
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Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo21 apr 23, 19:31 UTC1 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon.
- Throughout the legislative process, many legislators have insisted that it is a waste of time because it is clearly unconstitutional.
- Will the courts agree with these legislators?
- Market will resolve yes if the court rules the law unconstitutional.
- If only part of the bill is ruled unconstitutional, but enough of the law remains that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington, I will not consider the law to have been struck down.
- This market will resolve No if either no challenge is brought to the law by the end of this year or if after all appeals are exhausted (either after a Supreme Court decision has been made, the Supreme Court decides not to hear the case, or if the decision by a lower court is not appealed to the Supreme Court) enough of the law remains in place that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down??
- Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Washington state assault weapons ban be struck down??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon.