Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeneither before EOY 2027 86%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 gen 26, 22:34 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Will there be a senator or house rep (delegates and non voting members count) that affiliates with the greens or libertarians before EOY 2027? If so, what happens first? If happens on same day, resolves 50/50.
- If neither happens before EOY 2027, resolve to that.
- For this market, affiliation with any green or libertarian party location division counts.
- So if they decide to affiliate with the Alaskan Libertarian party, that would count as liberterian.
- Must be that party at time of swearing in, or if they change to it during the term, that’s fine.
- Prior affiliation doesn’t count.
