Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 86.2%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 25, 17:45 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
KalshiZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?
PolymarketWho will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Economist endorse Labour?
Manifold MarketsSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029) and NO otherwise.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election??
- Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election (currently scheduled for August 2029) and NO otherwise.