KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna quotazione live
Dati al 8 set 2026, 16:30 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
335,3 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
2.0% / 9.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
2 set 26, 23:00 UTC1 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRegole
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 606,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 721K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 11% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.