Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAEuropa2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.4%
Previsori
72
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mar 25, 03:14 UTC1 gen 29, 15:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Will resolve YES if the US Government formally withdraws from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) while Donald J. Trump is acting US President.
- Resolution will NOT be dependent on A 2/3 Senate super majority or act of Congress if Trump unilaterally withdraws and the Federal courts do not declare such withdrawal unlawful.
- Update 2025-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Notice of Denunciation Clarification:
- Sufficient Action: The market will resolve YES if the US sends a formal notice of denunciation to NATO.
- Waiting Period Irrelevant: The one-year waiting period between the notice and actual withdrawal is not required for a YES outcome.