Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
17 ago 26, 13:40 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the United States military conducts any offensive kinetic military strike—including airstrikes, drone strikes, naval bombardments, or missile strikes—targeting locations within the sovereign territory or territorial waters of Oman on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Source of Truth: Official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD), the Omani government, or credible international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- Inclusions: Any acknowledged kinetic strikes on Omani soil or maritime territory by U.S. forces, including accidental strikes or unauthorized actions subsequently confirmed by official military sources.
- Exclusions: Defensive military actions (such as U.S. forces intercepting missiles or drones over Omani airspace without striking targets on Omani territory) and cyber warfare do not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September??
- Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US bomb Oman by the end of September??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria