Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneMedio OrienteGeopolitica2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.5%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo7 apr 26, 17:26 UTC20 gen 29, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
This market will only resolve no once:
- the media consensus is that the Iran war is over (not just a ceasefire), OR
- a temporary ceasefire has gone on for 365 contiguous days.
- Otherwise, it will resolve yes when the next Democratic party nominee for President is inaugurated and there is not an active ceasefire.
- If a ceasefire is ongoing at the time of inauguration, this market will not resolve until either the ceasefire ends or it reaches 365 contiguous days (inclusive of days prior to inauguration).