KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 8 set 2026, 22:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
U.S. Senator 0%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 14:00 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO.
- "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029.
- Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Kalshi quota U.S. Senator al 0% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.