Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 71.6%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto11 nov 23, 22:19 UTC1 gen 34, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the United States no longer be a democracy within 5 years?
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ForecastExUnited States vs. Peru
PolymarketRegole
As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt65.7%
- No change-1.0pt32.4%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.5pt91%
- Republican Party+0.6pt9%
- Volume totale
- 32,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 982,4K €
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-6.0pt67%
- Susan Collins+5.0pt33%
- Volume totale
- 5,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 758,8K €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping?
- Ballroom99%
- Melania99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
+28 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 627,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 598,8K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt60.4%
- Republican Party+4.0pt39.6%
- Volume totale
- 9,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 584,8K €
KALSHIAlaska Senate winner?
- Democratic party-4.0pt71.7%
- Republican party+2.0pt28.3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 445,5K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71.6% al 24 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2034.
- Come viene liquidato Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As defined by Freedom House rating the US as "not free" at any point between now and 2033. 39% of Americans believe this will happen.