Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

One-OffPolitica Europe Elezione3a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 82.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 ore fa

Obsoleto

13 dic 23, 08:21 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

An ammended version of FPTP which includes ranked choice will resolve to Yes.
Or any other amendments that significantly change the way that people vote and how well parties do - I will decide this so slightly ambiguous.
Any other systems will resolve to Yes eg Proportional representation (whether that's STV of some other system)
If the system remains in place as it currently is by the 1st of Jan 2030 then this resolves to No
A bill to change the voting systems needs to have passed before the date of Jan 1st 2030, so anything that is being debated will not be considered.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

One-OffPolitica Europe Elezione3a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 82.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 ore fa

Obsoleto

13 dic 23, 08:21 UTC1 gen 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?

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Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

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Will a sitting head of state post a video of themselves dancing on TikTok or Instagram Reels by end of 2026?

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Will the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?

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This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

An ammended version of FPTP which includes ranked choice will resolve to Yes.
Or any other amendments that significantly change the way that people vote and how well parties do - I will decide this so slightly ambiguous.
Any other systems will resolve to Yes eg Proportional representation (whether that's STV of some other system)
If the system remains in place as it currently is by the 1st of Jan 2030 then this resolves to No
A bill to change the voting systems needs to have passed before the date of Jan 1st 2030, so anything that is being debated will not be considered.

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030??: Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030??: Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
Come viene liquidato Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This refers to the general election for the house of commons (not local elections of Scottish/Welsh/Northern Irish)

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

Will the UK change it's voting system to something that isn't the current First Past The Post (FPTP) by 2030?

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