Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 97.4%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto20 gen 26, 19:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump wins Nobel Peace Prize 2026?
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Manifold Markets2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Kalshi[Kalshi] Nobel Peace Prize winner
Manifold Markets🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?
PolymarketRegole
Parent market: https://manifold.markets/AmmonLam/will-trump-wins-the-nobel-peace-pri
- For this market to resolve YES, the parent market must reach 10% or higher at any point after January 19th and before it resolves.
- If the parent market resolves at 10% or higher, that also counts.
- Otherwise, this market resolves NO.