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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?
Manifold Markets

Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?

IATecnologiaOne-Off23a
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
Sì 50%
In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori

10

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 6 giorni fa

Obsoleto
8 apr 26, 12:4631 dic 49, 23:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes50%

Regole

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,686.76+1.64%EthereumETH$1,653.24+0.93%SolanaSOL$64.91+0.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.75%BNBBNB$596.60+1.44%XRPXRP$1.11-0.40%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.