Will the Republicans Gain Maine´s 2nd Congressional District in 2026
One-OffPolitica USAElezionePolitica8g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 58%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto20 feb 26, 21:47 UTC4 nov 26, 01:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will win California's 22nd Congressional District election, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia's 22nd congressional district election winner
FutuurVirginia's 2nd congressional district election winner
FutuurWill Democrat Shomari Figures win Alabamas 2nd congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIowa's 2nd congressional district election winner
FutuurWill Democrats win Nevadas 2nd congressional district in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- The general election is November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if a Republican wins Maine's 2nd Congressional District House seat in the 2026 general election, and NO if a Democrat wins.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Maine Secretary of State's office at https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections/.
- With Democratic U.S. Rep. Jared Golden not running again, there is an open seat for one of the most closely watched U.S. House races this year.
- The district voted for Trump by 9.5% in 2024 while re-electing Golden by less than one percent, making it the most presidentially-Republican congressional district held by a Democrat in the country, and is considered one of the best opportunities in non-redistricted seats for a Republican pickup.
