Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneGeopoliticaElezioni di metà mandato USA 20261g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.9%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 54 minuti fa
In ritardo7 lug 26, 18:13 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
President Trump (or the sitting U. S. President) orders or installs military, DHS, ICE agents, FBI, secret service, federal agents or policing personnel, National Guard, a response force, or any police or military presence at any polling places in November midterm elections.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during the November 2026 U.S. midterm elections (including early voting periods and Election Day on November 3, 2026), the sitting U.S. President or the federal executive branch orders or installs a military, DHS, ICE, FBI, Secret Service, CBP, National Guard, or other federal law enforcement or policing presence at or immediately outside any active polling place or official ballot drop-box location.
- To resolve YES, the following must occur:
- There must be a documented executive order, presidential directive, or confirmed deployment of these federal forces or agents at a polling place or drop-box site.
- The presence must consist of federal personnel, federalized National Guard, or state National Guard deployed under federal direction (Title 10 status).