Will the number of U.S. Supreme Court Justices confirmed between June 15, 2026 and January 20, 2029 be at least one?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 86.9%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto15 giu 26, 14:09 UTC20 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?
KalshiWhich Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiHow many supreme court justices will Trump appoint during his current term
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
Manifold MarketsHow many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the current presidential term?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 15, 2026, and January 20, 2029 (inclusive), the United States Senate votes to confirm at least one nominee to the Supreme Court of the United States.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Date Range: The official Senate confirmation vote must take place on or after June 15, 2026, and on or before 11:59:59 AM ET on January 20, 2029.
- Definition of Confirmation: A nominee is considered "confirmed" when the U.S. Senate passes a vote to advise and consent to the nomination.
- Actual swearing-in, taking the judicial oath, or officially assuming office is not required for a "YES" resolution, provided the Senate confirmation vote is successful within the specified timeframe.
