What will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
6-3 (balance as of 2024) 72.9%In testa tra 6 esiti
6-3 (balance as of 2024) 72.9%Previsori
11
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
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Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto27 gen 25, 04:01 UTC21 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
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What will be the Republican-Democrat balance of US Supreme Court justices by the 2029 inauguration?
- Resolves based on the number of Republican elected justices to Democratic elected justices as of January 20, 2029 (even if the inauguration does not happen on that date).
- I will create more options (from the "Other" category) if there will likely not be nine justices as of that date.
- If a justice "changes party" in a notable way (for example, makes a public announcement, or consistently votes with justices from the other party on partisan decisions), they will be considered to have swapped parties.
- Resolves N/A if the US Supreme Court no longer exists.
