Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77.7%
Previsori
77
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto20 giu 23, 20:10 UTC5 gen 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next president of France?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.
- Resolve N/A if there is a general disagreement about him/her being left-wing or not.
- Resolve no otherwise.
- Update 2026-07-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a candidate wins whose left-wing status is disputed (e.g. PS), and bettors disagree on the resolution, the market will resolve N/A.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party?
- Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party dovrebbe risolversi il 5 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolve yes if the next president of France be from a left-wing party.