Previsione della comunità attuale
No 66%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto1 apr 26, 12:52 UTC1 apr 29, 12:37 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will the next Pope be?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.
- Does narrative causality dictate the next pope is going to be Italian?
- Resolution Criteria.
- I will be liberal in interpreting what counts as Italian.
- At least one italian grandparent counts, but not recursively.
- Having been an immigrant to Italy for over three years at time of enthronement counts.
Mercati aperti
SportsKALSHIShelton vs Alcaraz
- Ben Shelton+49.0pt70.3%
- Carlos Alcaraz-49.0pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 22,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 21,2 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Quarter Finals match
- Ben Shelton+1.0pt59.7%
- Carlos Alcaraz40.3%
- Volume totale
- 459,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5+37.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Set 2 Winner+67.5pt100%
- Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 3.5+39.5pt100%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Bayern Munich13.3%
+33 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 24,6 Mln €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R13.9%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 74 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,9 Mln €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Alexander Zverev+11.0pt38%
- Ben Shelton+20.0pt28%
- Carlos Alcaraz-37.0pt19%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,8 Mln €
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- MVP Winner?
- New England vs Seattle
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Exact Match Score
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner
- Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
- Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz: Total Games
- 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Counter-Strike: 5star vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next pope be Italian??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 66% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next pope be Italian??
- Will the next pope be Italian? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 aprile 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next pope be Italian??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.