Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 79.9%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mar 24, 12:48 UTC1 gen 50, 12:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Android still use the Linux kernel by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill AI be able to rewrite the Linux Kernel from scratch in Rust, mostly autonomously, by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?
Manifold Markets▶️Which Youtube channels will still be actively uploading at the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Resolves yes if on 1 January 2050 the Linux kernel project continues to exist, with development activity ongoing.
- A fork of the main kernel project doesn't count unless there is some exceptional circumstance where there is truly overwhelming community consensus that the fork is the "real" project (think a situation where a supermajority of prominent kernel developers and most of the key distros switch over instantly due to a legal dispute or a few individuals being disruptive, not a situation where someone forks Linux because it's dead and they want it as a retrocomputing project).
