Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 82.3%
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 mar 23, 00:37 UTC1 mar 27, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of Mamdani's term of office New York City violent crime rate will be higher than when he took office.
Manifold MarketsWill the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWill Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegole
Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.
- Will Giorgia Meloni last 5 years?
- https://pagellapolitica.it/articoli/durata-governi-italia
- (the article is in italian but I couldn't find anything as relevant in english)
- The market will resolve at the end of the term (~2027) or before in case of fall.
Mercati aperti
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 494,6K €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 809,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 123,4K €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 altri esiti
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the italian government last for the entire term of office??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the italian government last for the entire term of office??
- Will the italian government last for the entire term of office? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the italian government last for the entire term of office??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Italy has had no less than 70 governments in 77 years, and its political instability is a well known problem all around Europe.