Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.6%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
23 giu 26, 19:58 UTC23 set 26, 19:56 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
PolymarketUNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
PolymarketIF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
Manifold MarketsCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Polymarket5th Fleet Stranded as result of Iran Deal?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and the US reach a formal nuclear deal by September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the "Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding" (also referred to as the Versailles agreement), signed by the United States and Iran on June 17, 2026, remains active and holds through September 17, 2026 (exactly three months after its signing).
- The market will resolve to NO if any of the following events occur prior to 11:59 PM UTC on September 17, 2026:
- Either the United States or Iran formally withdraws from, terminates, or nullifies the memorandum of understanding (or any subsequent comprehensive peace treaty that officially replaces it).
- Direct, state-level military hostilities resume between the United States (or Israel) and Iranian military forces, such as resumed airstrikes on Iranian sovereign territory or direct military clashes in the Persian Gulf/Strait of Hormuz.
- Either country officially reinstates a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz or Iranian ports.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Iran deal hold over 3 months??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Iran deal hold over 3 months??
- Will the Iran deal hold over 3 months? dovrebbe risolversi il 23 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Iran deal hold over 3 months??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria