Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 77%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 26, 06:36 UTC31 dic 99, 07:28 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
Manifold MarketsTrump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsBrazil inflation rate in August
KalshiArgentina inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.
- Resolves NO if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 2% or lower.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- This market will resolve as soon either the 2% or 4% threshold is crossed per an official announcement.
- I will not wait for corrections which could possibly invalidate the resolution and will not change the resolution should that happen.
Mercati aperti
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 89,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 323,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 25,3K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 523K €
- Volume 24h
- 22K €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,4K €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 77% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%??
- Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2999.
- Come viene liquidato Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.