Previsione della comunità attuale
By 12-31-2028 60%In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori
75
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 25, 11:38 UTC31 dic 27, 10:29 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
PolymarketWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
ETFPOLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↑ $192+28.4pt100%
- ↑ $191+22.9pt100%
- ↑ $190+15.9pt100%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 10K €
POLYMARKETWhat will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $188+40.0pt100%
- ↑ $186+35.0pt100%
- ↑ $184+28.4pt100%
+32 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAI bubble burst by which date?
- 2026+0.1pt11%
- March 31, 2026-0.1pt0%
- 2025+0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
LIMITLESSS&P 500 ETF (SPY) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes61%
- No39%
- Volume totale
- 23,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 43 €
MYRIADWhich bubble bursts first?
- Crypto78.3%
- AI21.7%
- Volume totale
- 9K €
- Volume 24h
- 0,9 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 USD at any point before December 31, 2026?
- No90.5%
- Yes9.5%
- Volume totale
- 1,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,9 €
- SPY 900 by Sep 18 2026?
- Will Bitcoin be higher 7 days from now?
- Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) Up or Down - Daily
- Will the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF - ARGT closes above US$100 at the end of 2027?
- What will be the price of SPY ($) at the end of 2026 (0.1x)
- Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
- MCHI (iShares MSCI China ETF) will close above 59 on the latest trading day of 2026
- Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
- EWY (EWY) Up or Down on September 9?
- Ethereum ETF Flows on September 10?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets quota By 12-31-2028 al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Will the AI bubble pop by X date? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- Dove altro è quotato Will the AI bubble pop by X date??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.