Previsione della comunità attuale
By 12-31-2028 50.3%In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori
78
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 25, 11:38 UTC31 dic 27, 10:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?
Manifold MarketsIs Sora's shutdown the start of an AI bubble pop by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we be called the AI bubble ? 2028
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble pop in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI bubble burst by which date?
FutuurWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadRegole
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — AI bubble burst by...? · June 30, 2027 23%
