Previsione della comunità attuale
By 12-31-2025 0%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
72
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ott 25, 11:3831 dic 27, 10:29
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
By 9-30-20265%
Confronta le piattaforme· By 3-31-2028
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMigliore in assoluto72% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 16% | — | 6,2 € | 14,5K € | 23 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 47% | — | — | — | 19 ore fa |
Disponibile anche su Polymarket
AI bubble burst by which date?
5m
16%
-0.1%0%
+0.1%0%
60 • Qualità mediaSpread moderatoLiquidità media
Volume totale2,6 Mln €
Volume 24h6,2 €
POLYMARKETRegole
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$709 lug4g di dati25 lug
Mercati Correlati
Which bubble bursts first?
5 €AI: 17.4%
MYRIAD
MYRIAD
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in July 2026?
347,1 €↓ $208: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETQQQ passes SPY by EOY 2026?
68,6 €Sì: 66%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Ethereum ETF Flows on July 27?
0 €Positive: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Bitcoin ETF Flows on July 27?
0 €Positive: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Top AI model this week
27,9K €claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 96%
KALSHI
KALSHIAttivi in questi argomenti
Notizie Correlate
Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter
Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt
WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter
Grayscale Files S-1 for Spot Worldcoin ETFThe Defiant
CoinShares debuts Bitcoin mining ETF in Europe entranceCointelegraph
Ether outruns bitcoin as ETF money returns, almost all of from BlackRock's fundCoindeskRegole
Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
- For the purpose of resolving this market, I will define the AI bubble popping as a reduction in the Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (MAGS) closing price of 35% or more within a period of 10 consecutive trading days.
- More formally, let pₜ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t, and let pₜ₊ₛ be the closing price of MAGS on trading day t + s, such that 0 < s ≤ 10.
- A market will resolve to Yes if
- (pₜ - pₜ₊ₛ) / pₜ ≥ .35
- is satisfied by the stated date.