Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 88%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 25, 14:24 UTC8 nov 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What year will the next Ukrainan presidential election take place?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next UK General Election take place?
Manifold MarketsWill the next British Genaral election take place before the regular deadline in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketWill Israel election happen as scheduled?
PolymarketLA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.
- Early or mail-in voting before that date does not affect resolution.
- Minor local delays (e.g., weather or logistical issues) do not count as postponement if the national Election Day proceeds as scheduled.
- Resolves NO if the election is postponed, canceled, or moved to a different date.
- Resolution will be based on announcements from official U.S. election authorities and confirmation by major media outlets.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 novembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the 🇺🇸 2028 Presidential Election take place as scheduled??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the 2028 U.S. Presidential Election takes place on its official date of November 7, 2028.