Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 10+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
TecnologiaOne-Off9mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 72.8%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo6 ago 26, 16:36 UTC6 ago 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla run fully driverless robotaxis (no safety monitor) in 3+ US metros beyond Austin by Aug 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first fully driverless commercial ride-hailing trip take place in London?
Manifold MarketsWill Zoox obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla obtain a permit to operate paid driverless robotaxis in CA from the CPUC by the end of 2026 [description]
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, by August 1, 2027 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), Tesla is providing public robotaxi rides with no human safety monitor or driver present in the vehicle, in at least 10 distinct U.S. metropolitan areas other than Austin, TX.
- As of market creation (August 6, 2026), 5 metros beyond Austin already qualify: Dallas, Houston, Miami, Tampa, and Orlando.
- Phoenix and Las Vegas have been publicly planned since early 2026 but have not yet launched unsupervised service as of market creation.
- Requirements for a city to count: 1.
- Rides must have zero human safety monitor or driver physically present in the vehicle (a city where rides still require an in-car human monitor, such as the San Francisco Bay Area under current California law, does not count). 2.
- Service must be generally available to public riders, not an employee-only or invite-only internal pilot. 3.