Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 51.8%
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10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto4 nov 25, 17:45 UTC31 dic 27, 17:33 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWill Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi
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Manifold MarketsIn which year will Tesla release a robotaxi?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiRegole
Will Tesla release a production Cybercab with a steering wheel?
- Elon Musk has emphasized designing the Cybercab as a "clean robotaxi" without compromise and without a steering wheel.
- Tesla chairwoman Robin Denholm stated that Tesla plans to add a steering wheel and pedals to the Cybercab if needed.
- Evidence from Tesla's road-testing prototypes with added controls supports feasibility, and @Farzyness predicts the Cybercab production line will yield a drivable variant with steering wheel and pedals to maximize capacity and address regulatory/demand realities, contrasting Elon Musk's continued emphasis on a control-free robotaxi design.
- Resolution criteria This market resolves YES if Tesla releases any production Cybercab variant with a steering wheel and pedals.
- This includes both full production models and limited variants.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel??
- Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tesla release a Cybercab with a Steering Wheel??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Tesla release a production Cybercab with a steering wheel?