Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.4%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto13 giu 25, 16:46 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Tesla merge with or be acquired by SpaceX before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with any of xAI, X, SpaceX or Neuralink, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWhen will SpaceX and Tesla merge?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
Walter Isaacson believes it will happen:
- https://www.thecooldown.com/green-business/tesla-xai-merger-elon-musk-walter-isaacson/
- Update 2026-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If xAI merges with SpaceX first, this market will still resolve YES if the resulting entity (SpaceX/xAI) subsequently merges with Tesla by the end of 2027.
Mercati aperti
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 85,3K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 184,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,8K €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 21,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 20,3K €
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 altri esiti
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027??
- Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Tesla merge with xAI by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Walter Isaacson believes it will happen: