Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.4%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 00:21 UTC19 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Manifold MarketsWill Ted Cruz be nominated for Supreme Court Justice before 2028?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiRegole
Must be confirmed.
- Nomination isn’t enough.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029??
- Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 19 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Must be confirmed.