Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Taylor Swift give birth to a baby in 2027??

Manifold Markets quota No al 69.9% al 13 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Taylor Swift give birth to a baby in 2027??

Will Taylor Swift give birth to a baby in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 69.9%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 ore fa

Obsoleto

4 lug 26, 12:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if Taylor Swift gives birth to a child at any point between January 1, 2027, and December 31, 2027, inclusive (based on the local time of the birth).
Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
Surrogacy/Adoption: Because the prompt specifies "give birth," any child born via gestational surrogate or acquired via adoption will not qualify for a YES resolution.
Sources: Resolution will be determined by official announcements from Taylor Swift, her representatives, or reputable mainstream media organizations (e.g., The Associated Press, People, Billboard).
Timing: If no birth is officially confirmed to have occurred in 2027 by January 15, 2028, the market will resolve to NO.