Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.5%
Previsori
50
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 24, 12:29 UTC31 dic 27, 12:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Space tourism is rapidly advancing, but whether it will be mainstream by 2027 is uncertain.
- Proponents argue that technological advancements, commercial launch plans, and infrastructure development like space hotels will make it accessible.
- However, critics point out the high costs, safety and regulatory challenges, and limited capacity, suggesting it will remain exclusive.
- Resolution Criteria:This will resolve YES if:
- By the end of 2027, space tourism flights are commercially available and can be booked by the general public, similar to traditional airline flights, regardless of cost.
- This will resolve NO if:
