Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 74.7%
Previsori
177
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 23, 03:22 UTC1 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will prediction markets become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
Manifold MarketsIf prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because of actions by Congress?
Manifold MarketsWill space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if at least one prediction market platform has more than 1 million daily active users by 2028.
- Also resolves YES if an online sports betting platform has those engagement numbers AND has a substainstial component that is about politics, science, and other real-world events.
- So for example, I don't think that Betfair currently counts but it might in the future.
