Will South Korea start building a nuclear-powered submarine before 2030?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffPoliticaPolitica USAGeopolitica3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 56.9%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 38 minuti fa
30 ott 25, 03:11 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if South Korea begins construction on a nuclear-powered submarine before January 1, 2030. "Construction" is defined as the commencement of physical building work (steel-cutting ceremony or equivalent) on the submarine hull.
- Whether the submarine is constructed in South Korea or not is not germane, as long as the submarine is intended for Korean service.
- Whether the submarine is a Korean design or not is not germane, as long as the submarine is intended for Korean service.
- If a submarine already under construction or already completed is diverted to South Korea, this will not resolve YES.
- The market resolves NO if no such construction begins by the deadline.
