Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026?
BitcoinOne-OffIASociety & Culture3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 63.1%
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16
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto23 feb 24, 18:01 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.
- The scam attempt can use voice generation, video generation, or any similar form of analog AI based generation.
- The scammer must attempt to extract something (money/resources/info).
- The attempt need not be successful.
- The scam must target this individual specifically, by eg. faking voice of a friend, as opposed to eg. a mass circulated deepfake with a famous personality requesting money be sent to a bitcoin wallet.
- I'll only resolve positively if the target is someone I know in a personal capacity (friends/family/colleagues/etc).
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63.1% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026??
- Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will someone I know be targeted by a generative AI based scam by EoY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if there is an attempt made to scam someone that I personally know, by a technique made possible by generative AI by EoY 2026, and I learn about it.