Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Oceania before 2030?
One-OffSocietà e cultura3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 79.7%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 23, 23:01 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in Africa before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill same-sex marriage be newly legalized in any country in the Americas before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill same-sex marriage be newly legalized for at least non-Muslims in any Muslim-majority country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill same-sex marriage be banned in any country that has currently legalized it, before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiWill the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Including any transcontinental countries.
- "Newly": Doesn't count any country that has already legalized it now or has set a future date for when it will be legal (like Estonia has).
- But any country that formalizes legalization at a future date, even if that date is after 2029, does count so long as the decision was locked in before 2030.
- Must qualify in such a way that the country would change to dark blue on this Wikipedia map, though changes to that map are not required for this question to resolve YES.
- Part of a series:
- @/Stralor/will-samesex-marriage-be-newly-lega
