Will Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
One-OffRegolamentazionePoliticaPolitica USA2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo15 feb 26, 11:44 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
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PredictItRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if prediction markets are banned in the United States before 31 December 2026.
- A ban is defined as a federal prohibition that prevents the operation of prediction market platforms or makes it illegal for U.S. residents to trade on prediction markets.
- State-level bans or restrictions do not trigger a YES resolution.
- The market resolves NO if prediction markets continue to operate legally under federal CFTC oversight through 31 December 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the CFTC, Congress, or federal courts establishing a nationwide ban.
