Previsione della comunità attuale
No 91.1%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto14 mar 26, 21:10 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Poland officially completes its withdrawal from the European Union (per Article 50 of the TEU) before January 1, 2030.
- Resolution requires either a ratified withdrawal agreement or the expiration of the two-year notification period.
- The market resolves to NO if Poland remains a member state through December 31, 2029.
- Market Background: The 2026 Crisis
- While the 2023 elections brought a pro-EU coalition to power under Donald Tusk, the political landscape shifted dramatically following the June 2025 Presidential Election.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Will Poland leave European Union before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Poland leave European Union before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria