Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo?
PoliticaOne-OffLatin AmericaElezione26gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto24 apr 26, 23:06 UTC5 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in São Paulo (SP)?
Manifold MarketsSão Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSão Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketSão Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected Senator in São Paulo (SP)? (2 seats)
Manifold MarketsWill the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "YES" if Paulo Kogos is officially declared elected as a deputado estadual (State Deputy) for the state of São Paulo, Brazil, by the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral - TSE) in the next general election.
- It resolves to "NO" if he is not elected.
- The official results provided by the TSE at https://resultados.tse.jus.br/ will serve as the sole source of truth for the resolution of this market.
- Paulo Kogos is a Brazilian political activist, commentator, and entrepreneur known for his vocal advocacy of libertarian and Austrian School economic views.
- He has previously run for public office in São Paulo.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume totale
- 957,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo??
- Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Paulo Kogos be elected state deputy of São Paulo? / Paulo Kogos será eleito deputado estadual de São Paulo??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria