Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?
ExchangeIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsRegolamentazioneSpaceEquitiesTecnologia3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.6%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 21:26 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill OpenAI go public NOT via an IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if both OpenAI AND xAI complete initial public offerings (IPOs) and begin trading on a major U.S. stock exchange (NYSE or Nasdaq) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution is based on official SEC filings and exchange announcements.
- The market resolves NO if either company fails to complete an IPO by the deadline.
- OpenAI was reportedly planning an IPO of up to $1 trillion as early as late 2026, though OpenAI's CFO Sarah Friar said last month that a listing is "not in the near-term plan." OpenAI has been in early discussions with top law firms, including Cooley, about a potential public listing, and at least some capital could come via an initial public offering it is reportedly planning for as soon as the second half of 2026.
- For xAI, two xAI investors said a listing could occur as soon as late 2026 or the first half of 2027, though they acknowledged the timing is uncertain. xAI CEO Linda Yaccarino emphasized that it is still too early to discuss a timeline for an IPO, as xAI is only two years old.
Mercati aperti
Exchange
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume totale
- 4,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6 Mln €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume totale
- 459,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 459,8K €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume totale
- 123,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 384,9K €
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 161,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 158,1K €
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026??
- Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria