Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026?
Obbligazioni e titoli di StatoOne-OffGeopoliticaMedio OrienteCinaManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 30 set 2026, 20:28
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Esito Vincente
No
A 7 giorni
—
A 24 ore
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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 set 2026, 23:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Designations of non-bank companies, Hong Kong-only entities, or banks designated solely for unrelated conduct do not count.
- Primary source: OFAC sanctions programs and press releases.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
