Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 68.9%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
2 ago 23, 23:20 UTC2 gen 30, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Noam Chomsky become a centenarian?
Manifold MarketsIs Noam Chomsky *the* smartest living nonagenarian?
Manifold MarketsWill Vince Giuliano (https://www.anti-agingfirewalls.com/) become a centenarian?
Manifold MarketsWill Noam Chomsky live longer than Bertrand Russell? (Russell died at 98)
Manifold MarketsParis curfew effectively lifted by which date?
PolymarketWhat will NYC subway average weekday ridership be in October 2026?
KalshiRegole
A few other Chomsky age markets: