Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030?
One-OffHealth & MedicineScienzaTecnologia3aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 94.8%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo2 apr 26, 15:28 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.
- I will be lenient about what counts as a preservation, and resolve based on any credible claim by the company.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/MaxHarms/will-nectome-perform-1000-brain-pre
- Update 2026-04-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only human brain preservations count toward resolution.
- Animal (e.g. pet) preservations do not count.
Mercati aperti
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,3K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 5,2K €
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt65%
- September+2.0pt41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Volume totale
- 916K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,5K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-2.0pt57%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 863,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 1K €
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 95% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030??
- Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Nectome perform 1,000+ brain preservations in a single calendar year before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES iff Nectome preserves over a thousand patients in a single calendar year.